What’s Causing the Recent Spike in Global Temperatures?
About the same rate persisted in the 2000s and Washington experienced a record heat wave in 2012. In his paper, Hansen had also made these predictions for three other cities: Omaha, Memphis, and New York. These results were more mixed and go to illustrate the regional variability of the climate. Just 1 out of 10 summers in Omaha in the 1990s qualif
... See moreNate Silver • The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail-but Some Don't
For example, increased temperatures cause more moisture from the earth’s surface to evaporate into the atmosphere. As a result, there are more droughts around the world, more wildfires, and more flooding in areas already in danger of being consumed by water. Already, 20 to 30 percent of Bangladesh is underwater on a regular basis. This problem will... See more
Bill Gates • How to Avoid a Climate Disaster: The Solutions We Have and the Breakthroughs We Need (Random House Large Print)
The scientific estimates of average global temperature change have been very accurate so far, yet there has been a broad underestimation of the speed at which regional feedbacks like those in the Arctic might kick in.
Paul Behrens • The Best of Times, The Worst of Times: Futures from the Frontiers of Climate Science
challenge precisely because it is a truly global phenomenon, and because its largest anthropogenic cause is the combustion of fuels that constitute the massive energetic foundations of modern civilization.
Vaclav Smil • How the World Really Works: The Science Behind How We Got Here and Where We're Going
If one were to ascribe a specific date to the dawn of modern climate science, a strong case could be made for August 23, 1856—though its significance went unrecognized for 150 years. Eunice Newton Foote was an artist, inventor, citizen scientist, and early suffragist from upstate New York whose singular contribution to climate science was lost in p
... See moreJohn Vaillant • Fire Weather
Overall, the predictions for the four cities were reasonably good, but were toward the lower end of Hansen’s range. His global temperature predictions are harder to evaluate because they articulated a plethora of scenarios that relied on different assumptions, but they were also somewhat too high.76 Even the most…
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