Hardcore passive management enthusiasts overemphasize the overarching pull toward efficiency and mistake the general trend for the Gospel Truth. In so doing, they overlook valuable opportunities for return enhancement that are available to behavioral investors. Advocates for traditional active management are quick to point out the behavioral anomal

If a strategy wasn’t working, or when market volatility surged, Renaissance’s system tended to automatically reduce positions and risk. For example, Medallion cut its futures trading by 25 percent in the fall of 1998. By contrast, when LTCM’s strategies floundered, the firm often grew their size, rather than pull back.

In an environment of above-target inflation and persistent deficit spending, the aggregate investor allocation to equities is likely to remain well supported until activity turns. Putting these factors together, we think that the sustained outperformance of equities has likely reached its zenith, and a correction in these dynamics can come in one o