Transition mapping: a strategic blueprint for capital allocators?

By mapping the components of individual services (or portfolios of services) against these two axes, perhaps we can explore their relationship to systems change. To what extent are we tweaking around the edges of the existing system, versus changing the behaviour of the system itself — and how ambitious is the effort?

How can you imagine balancing the implementation of multiple ‘interventions’ with periods of observation and waiting? Should this process be staggered, so that transition designers are observing the results of some interventions, while implementing others? How can this process be choreographed and adjusted quickly when necessary?

Now is perhaps the time to examine this transition systemically. To prototype the institutions, instruments, and intelligence infrastructures that can thrive in this new landscape. To design not just for simplistic returns, but for capacity to navigate the systemic complexity unfolding.

We are no longer headed toward a smooth or linear transition. What lies ahead is volatile, uncertain, and spiky—marked by rupture rather than reform. As our current economic engines collapse, we’re witnessing a deepening inability to allocate capital toward the future. Capital is increasingly being mobilised to preserve existing assets—assets under... See more