Tips for probabilistic software - jxnl.co
Learning to focuson process and accept the periodic and inevitable bad outcomes is crucial.Great investors recognize another uncomfortable reality about probability: the frequency of correctnessdoes not really matter (batting average), what matters is how much money you make when you are rightversus how much money you lose when you are wrong (slugg... See more
Dan Callahan • Reflections on the Ten Attributes of Great Investors
Daniel Bakalarz added
Successfully thinking in shades of probability means roughly identifying what matters, coming up with a sense of the odds, doing a check on our assumptions, and then making a decision. We can act with a higher level of certainty in complex, unpredictable situations. We can never know the future with exact precision. Probabilistic thinking is an ext
... See moreRhiannon Beaubien • The Great Mental Models Volume 1: General Thinking Concepts
Probabilistic thinking is essentially trying to estimate, using some tools of math and logic, the likelihood of any specific outcome coming to pass. It is one of the best tools we have to improve the accuracy of our decisions.
Rhiannon Beaubien • The Great Mental Models Volume 1: General Thinking Concepts
Bad code gives you feedback, perfect code doesn’t. Err on the side of writing bad code
It’s really easy to write terrible code. But it’s also really easy to write code that follows absolutely every best practice, which has been unit, integration, fuzz, and mutation-tested for good measure – your startup will just run out of money before you finish.... See more
It’s really easy to write terrible code. But it’s also really easy to write code that follows absolutely every best practice, which has been unit, integration, fuzz, and mutation-tested for good measure – your startup will just run out of money before you finish.... See more
Marcus • Marcus' Blog
nico kokonas added
Probabilistic thinking is essentially trying to estimate, using some tools of math and logic, the likelihood of any specific outcome coming to pass. It is one of the best tools we have to improve the accuracy of our decisions.
Rhiannon Beaubien • The Great Mental Models Volume 1: General Thinking Concepts
There are idiosyncrasies of software development that are invariant even as technique and technology improves, and so you are bound to recapitulate these patterns eventually.
doriantaylor.com • Agile as Trauma
Kassen Qian added
Matei Zaharia, Omar Khattab, Lingjiao Chen, et al. • The Shift From Models to Compound AI Systems
Nicolay Gerold added