The Scaling Era: An Oral History of AI, 2019–2025
At the present level of compute we already have human-level performance in tasks ranging from speech transcription to text generation. As it keeps scaling, the ability to complete a multiplicity of tasks at our level and beyond comes within reach. AI will keep getting radically better at everything, and so far there seems no obvious upper limit on
... See moreMustafa Suleyman • The Coming Wave: Technology, Power, and the Twenty-first Century's Greatest Dilemma
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Kai-Fu Lee • AI Superpowers: China, Silicon Valley, and the New World Order
The incentive to find breakthrough science that provides a performance pathway other than scaling is increasing. A GPT-6 class model will cost $10 billion and three years to improve on GPT-5 by some uncertain degree. That’s a ton of time and a lot of cash for an uncertain payout: in other words, a substantial prize for anyone who can figure out pro... See more
Azeem Azhar • 🧠 AI’s $100bn question: The scaling ceiling
The Coming Wave: Technology, Power, and the Twenty-first Century's Greatest Dilemma
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