The Free World Teeters on the Edge of a Knife
Identifying the major participants in a coming great-power war, should it happen, is no Black Swan mystery. It’s more like a Gray Rhino, to use policy analyst Michele Wucker’s evocative phrase—something which, when we pause to think about it, is big, obvious, and galloping straight toward us. To list the roster on one side, we need only refer to
... See moreNeil Howe • The Fourth Turning Is Here: What the Seasons of History Tell Us about How and When This Crisis Will End
The world is being forcibly reconfigured by at least three concurrent revolutions: a geopolitical revolution driven by the rise of China; an ideological revolution consuming the Western world; and a technological revolution exacerbating both of the former.Geopolitically, a decent understanding of what is happening, if not of its full extent, has... See more
N.S. Lyons • The Upheaval
The recent election of Donald Trump to his second term as U.S. president heralds a reset of such issues on the world agenda. As a candidate, he stated that he would end the Ukraine war, that Hamas would not have attacked Israel Oct. 7, 2023, and that he would impose tariffs on goods coming into America. Whether he can stop the war in Europe,... See more