The Craft of Forecasting Our Possible Futures: A Conversation with Jane McGonigal
By being willing to consider just how strange things might get, we reduce the risk of being shocked by our future, and we increase our ability to shape it.
Jane McGonigal • Imaginable: How to See the Future Coming and Feel Ready for Anything—Even Things That Seem Impossible Today
The hope is that such an integrated simulation of the whole economy could provide a realistic test bed for evaluating different strategies for economic stimulus, such as whether to reduce taxes or increase public spending; and perhaps most important, to be able to predict tipping points or forecast imminent crises so as to avoid potential recession
... See moreGeoffrey West • Scale
I make it a personal habit once a year to revisit the set of future forces that I’m most worried or most excited about. I do this yearly refresh in January, because that’s when the WEF’s Global Risks Report comes out. I read some articles, listen to some podcasts, watch some videos, and refresh my thinking. Sometimes I decide that a force has eithe
... See moreJane McGonigal • Imaginable: How to See the Future Coming and Feel Ready for Anything—Even Things That Seem Impossible Today
To convince our brains to do the hard work of imagining hard-to-imagine futures, we have to move out of a state of boredom, distraction, or indifference and into a mindset of high interest, curiosity, and attention. The asteroid scenario, while far less probable than a mass climate migration, is a much more vivid kind of crisis to imagine.
Jane McGonigal • Imaginable: How to See the Future Coming and Feel Ready for Anything—Even Things That Seem Impossible Today
Six Steps to Simulate Any Future You Want To plan your own social simulation, you’ll need to decide: What scenario do you want to simulate? Who will you invite to participate? When will you start and end the simulation? Where will the social sharing happen? How will you explore different dimensions of the future? Why are you simulating this future?