The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable (Incerto Book 2)

In The Black Swan, Nassim Nicholas Taleb, a former hedge fund manager, describes the perils of Uncertainty. No matter how stable or predictable things seem, unpredictable “black swan events” can change everything in an instant. The term “black swan” was a common expression in sixteenth-century London for something that was impossible or didn’t exis

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Black Swans hijack our brains, making us feel we “sort of” or “almost” predicted them, because they are retrospectively explainable.