Using Prediction Markets to Track Information Flows: Evidenc...

Using Prediction Markets to Track Information Flows: Evidence from Google

The paper analyzes Google's internal prediction markets, highlighting biases such as optimism, correlations in trading among proximate employees, and insights into how organizations process information and communicate.

static.googleusercontent.com

RelatedHighlights

they predict buying in light of contact.

Eric Siegel • Predictive Analytics

Corporate Prediction Markets: Evidence from Google, Ford, and Koch Industries

The document examines the efficiency of corporate prediction markets at Google, Ford, and Koch Industries, and finds that despite some inefficiencies, these markets perform reasonably well.

erim.eur.nl

Prediction markets as epistemic tools

Sasha Shilina medium.com

I am also a fan of prediction markets, which can help identify the significance of events in real time , before the dust settles and there is consensus on which direction is which. The Polymarket on Sam Altman is very helpful in giving a useful summary of the ultimate consequences of hour-by-hour revelations and negotiations, giving much-needed con... See more

My Techno-Optimism

introduces another set of risks: bias.

Ethan Mollick • Co-Intelligence: Living and Working with AI

The uptake and growth of prediction markets has been dampened by regulatory issues, but possible workarounds include a non-fiat token, or reputation-linked points system.

Eric Siegel • Predictive Analytics

Corporate Prediction Markets: Evidence from Google, Ford, and Koch Industries

Prediction markets as epistemic tools

My Techno-Optimism

Ethan Mollick • Co-Intelligence: Living and Working with AI

Sarah Constantin • Daily Notes