Human history in the very long run

The truth is that technology will progress against all odds. But not every country will welcome it as an opportunity for further economic development. For a long time, we’ve had good reasons to be worried about Europe. But there are now reasons to question whether the US, too, will make the most of the current transition. Now it’s the entire Wester

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pro-extinctionism bound up with bizarre techno-utopian fantasies of inaugurating a fundamentally new epoch in cosmic history—one in which Homo sapiens will be disempowered, marginalized, and eventually eliminated

In fact, the people who knew the period best – those alive at the time – were the most clueless of all. For the average Roman in Constantine’s time, the future was a fog. It is an iron rule of history that what looks inevitable in hindsight was far from obvious at the time. Today is no different. Are we out of the global economic crisis, or is the

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What will happen to the job market once artificial intelligence outperforms humans in most cognitive tasks? What will be the political impact of a massive new class of economically useless people? What will happen to relationships, families and pension funds when nanotechnology and regenerative medicine turn eighty into the new fifty? What will hap

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