Nothing fails like a history of success
surfingcomplexity.blog
Nothing fails like a history of success
To facilitate learning from failure, NASA catalogs mistakes in human spaceflight in a document called “Flight Rules.”55 The rules are a record of the past to guide the future. They’re a body of knowledge culled from decades of missteps and miscalculations to ensure that the lessons endure. The document contains thousands of anomalies that have come
... See moreTo that haunting and recurrent question, despite vigorous investigation, no clear answer yet appears. Even Toynbee, floundering through his massive survey of 20-odd civilizations, was finally able to discern only that: SYSTEMS TEND TO MALFUNCTION CONSPICUOUSLY JUST AFTER THEIR GREATEST TRIUMPH Toynbee explains this effect by pointing out the strong
... See moreThere can be a strong temptation to assume the future will look just like the past—and therefore, to believe the same behaviors that drove past success will also lead to future success.