Lots of Overnight Tragedies, No Overnight Miracles
Call it the 10/10 rule: a decade to build the new platform, and a decade for it to find a mass audience.
Steven Johnson • Where Good Ideas Come From
The trajectory of very recent history often tells a distorted story. Making this even harder, in the short-term, assuming an accelerating growth rate might make you look silly or lose money. The progression isn’t smooth. A period of rapid growth might give way to a period of slower growth. Progress happens in S-Curves -- similar to the Gartner Hype... See more
notboring.co • Compounding Crazy
When viewed at the fast scale of days and weeks, the efforts of historic thinkers like Copernicus and Newton can seem uneven and delayed. When instead viewed at the slow scale of years, their efforts suddenly seem undeniably and impressively fruitful.
Cal Newport • Slow Productivity: The Lost Art of Accomplishment Without Burnout
When you have a game-changing insight you’ll often have to repeat it for 5-7 years before people start to really get it.
Good news comes from compounding, which always takes time, but bad news comes from a loss in confidence or a catastrophic error that can occur in a blink of an eye.