Saved by Lucas Kohorst
Let there be flow - Tanner Hoke
Why prediction markets aren’t popular - Works in Progress
worksinprogress.coOftentimes with surprisingly little liquidity, prediction markets prove highly accurate and robust in the face of interference. The "wisdom of crowds" phenomenon ensures that these markets frequently outperform traditional forecasting tools like polls. For instance, the University of Iowa operates the Iowa Electronic Markets (IEM) as a research... See more
Mohit Agarwal • Kalshi’s Court Victory: A Turning Point for Prediction Markets?
It also follows, as noted, that duration and liquidity should typically correlate together: more liquidity forces investors into longer duration investments. Another irony in this story is that technology stocks are long duration i.e. high P/E investments and largely outside the ‘value’ framework. However, they are exactly the assets that gain most... See more
Michael Howell • Buffett’ ed
Before Kalshi, I worked at a well-known mainstream news company. My role centered around data-driven storytelling (translating data from source to screen).
I feel qualified to offer my take on how prediction markets democratize data collection by fixing the data lag... See more
chef stevex.com