added by Lucas Kohorst · updated 2d ago
Kalshi’s Court Victory: A Turning Point for Prediction Markets?
- I am also a fan of prediction markets, which can help identify the significance of events in real time , before the dust settles and there is consensus on which direction is which. The Polymarket on Sam Altman is very helpful in giving a useful summary of the ultimate consequences of hour-by-hour revelations and negotiations, giving much-needed con... See more
from My Techno-Optimism
- A few months ago I was at a conference where Robin Hanson spoke about prediction markets.[1] He argued that given how much of companies' outcomes are driven by who they choose to hire, and how non-rigorous the process of selecting employees and revisiting those selections is, there's a literal trillion-dollar opportunity in getting it right. Predic... See more
from How Many Trillion-Dollar Companies Should There Be? by Byrne Hobart
("JP") and added
- The precision that makes them so theoretically useful is itself a curse for their liquidity, so prediction market evangelists should welcome all new traders with open arms.
from Let there be flow - Tanner Hoke by Tanner Hoke
Lucas Kohorst added