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Is Science Slowing Down?
The lack of exponential increase in labor productivity is sometimes used as an argument that tech innovation has slowed down in recent decades — that the big innovations like electric power and the car are behind us and more recent inventions have been more minor in impact — that the narrative of accelerating progress toward Singularity is bogus in... See more
Ben Goertzel • We Should Be Measuring Well-Being Catalysis, Not (trying and largely failing to measure) Economic Productivity
The bureaucratic machine of science is therefore an important cause of scientific stagnation.
Byrne Hobart • Boom: Bubbles and the End of Stagnation
In a famous paper, ‘Are ideas getting harder to find?’, Nicholas Bloom and collaborators found that research productivity has been falling quite dramatically since the 1970s. Their data suggests that it now takes 18 times as many resources as it did then to work out how to double the number of transistors on a microchip.
Work in Progress • Page not found | Works in Progress
It didn’t. In all sorts of different fields, research productivity has been flat or declining for decades, and peer review doesn’t seem to have changed that trend. New ideas are failing to displace older ones. Many peer-reviewed findings don’t replicate, and most of them may be straight-up false. When you ask scientists to rate
... See moreAdam Mastroianni • The Rise and Fall of Peer Review
Across the years 1965 to 1989, employment in research and development doubled in the United States, tripled in West Germany and France, and quadrupled in Japan. Meanwhile, economic growth has slowed down in those same countries, and the number of patents from those countries has remained fairly steady. The United States produced more patents in 196
... See more