II. From AGI to Superintelligence: The Intelligence Explosion
SITUATIONAL AWARENESS - The Decade Aheadsituational-awareness.ai
II. From AGI to Superintelligence: The Intelligence Explosion
Economic Lessons from the Last Few Singularities
One of John von Neumann's absurdly varied contributions to human knowledge was the idea of a technological singularity, i.e. a point at which advances in technology and economic growth happen at such a fast pace that prediction is impossible. This doesn't mean it's the end of history, and in fact mean... See more
One of John von Neumann's absurdly varied contributions to human knowledge was the idea of a technological singularity, i.e. a point at which advances in technology and economic growth happen at such a fast pace that prediction is impossible. This doesn't mean it's the end of history, and in fact mean... See more
Making AI that is smarter than almost all humans at almost all things will require millions of chips, tens of billions of dollars (at least), and is most likely to happen in 2026-2027. DeepSeek's releases don't change this, because they're roughly on the expected cost reduction curve that has always been factored into these calculations.
Dario Amodei • On DeepSeek and Export Controls
