I. From GPT-4 to AGI: Counting the OOMs
SITUATIONAL AWARENESS - The Decade Aheadsituational-awareness.ai
I. From GPT-4 to AGI: Counting the OOMs
So far, the (exponentially) more compute and data you put in, the more intelligence you get out. This effect is so clear and so important that I call the period since 2016 the scaling era of AI.55
Dwarkesh Patel • The Scaling Era: An Oral History of AI, 2019–2025
The AGI race has begun. We are building machines that can think and reason. By 2025/26, these machines will outpace many college graduates. By the end of the decade, they will be smarter than you or I; we will have superintelligence, in the true sense of the word. Along the way, national security forces not seen in half a century will be unleashed,... See more
Leopold Aschenbrenner • SITUATIONAL AWARENESS: The Decade Ahead
