How prediction markets saw something the polls and pundits didn’t | CNN Business
cnn.com
How prediction markets saw something the polls and pundits didn’t | CNN Business
Polymarket Parlays Provide Paltry Payouts for Prediction Plays
sportico.com
The Jane Street trading plan wasn’t all that complicated. They’d get the voting results before everyone else, that data would shift the odds of the election in one direction or the other, and they’d buy or sell both US and emerging market stocks in response.
Michael Lewis • Going Infinite: The Rise and Fall of a New Tycoon
Solid piece — I especially appreciated @pjchougule’s origin story, and his point that “insider trading” in prediction markets is generally a feature not a bug (as my colleague @ZackPokorny_ has also argued).
However, Polymarket and Robin Hanson are conspicuous by their absence. https://t.co/5fnvKPEd6D