Historical analogies for large language models

YC founder Paul Graham's latest prediction:

Within the next 20 years, the number of people who can truly write will decrease significantly. This is not just about the disappearance of writing skills, but also the divergence of thinking abilities. The emergence of AI technology will create a divided world of "those who can write" and "those who canno

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Second is that we’ve seen all the historical forms of musical creativity get obsoleted by machines, which has mostly resulted in more human creativity. Every instrument can be played extremely well by a computer without decades of study. Somehow this hasn’t obviated the need for drummers or guitar players or violinists, but rather created a whole

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