Global Liquidity Watch: Weekly Update
- The Long-Term Debt and Capital Markets Cycle: At no point in our lifetimes have interest rates been so low or negative on so much debt as they are as of this writing. The value of money and debt assets is being called into question by the supply-and-demand picture for them. In 2021, more than $16 trillion of debt was at negative interest rates and
Ray Dalio • Principles for Dealing with the Changing World Order: Why Nations Succeed and Fail
He presents evidence that liquidity tends to lead market movements by a window of three to six months. This insight suggests that tracking global liquidity can offer valuable foresight into potential market behavior, enabling investors to make more informed decisions.
Michael Howell • The Dynamics of Global Liquidity and Cycles
This framework gives important insights in a debt-driven World. First-and-foremost, financial markets increasingly operate as vast debt refinancing mechanisms not new capital-raising vehicles . Second, domestic and international capital flows represent key drivers of the economic system. Increasingly cross-border flows determine trade balances, not
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