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Explaining a16z's Investment in Substack
Overall, building subscription businesses is a great way to incentive creators to make their best content. Paying for content is a signal that users trust and value content creators instead of relying on ads to pay for content creation.
Adam Keesling • Explaining a16z's Investment in Substack
The reason I find this company so interesting is it doesn’t seem like a venture-backable business at first glance. In order to get $100M in revenue, they would have to have $1.0B in gross subscription volume. When they went through YC, they had an average revenue / subscriber of $70. If that stays the same, Substack will need about 14.3M paid subsc... See more
Adam Keesling • Explaining a16z's Investment in Substack
Ad networks, most notably Facebook and Google, provided solutions to advertisers’ buying problems. The main thing they provided was more data on consumers.
Adam Keesling • Explaining a16z's Investment in Substack
Email could be the wrong entry into paid content. Audio, video or something else could be a better wedge
Adam Keesling • Explaining a16z's Investment in Substack
Substack has a business model that creates unique unit economics. Substack isn’t trying to build the next The Economist or The Athletic. It’s not branded; the consumer doesn’t need to know what Substack is. Instead, the growth will come from consumers resonating with individual creators.
Adam Keesling • Explaining a16z's Investment in Substack
There may be fewer niche communities online and lower intent to pay for a subscription
Adam Keesling • Explaining a16z's Investment in Substack
Another problem with this advertiser relationship with websites was logistics. Not only was it hard to decide which websites to buy ads on, but it was hard to coordinate. Each website often had their own ad sales team and there wasn’t enough time and resources as a buyer to deal with all these sales teams.
Adam Keesling • Explaining a16z's Investment in Substack
Consumers may not be willing to pay subscriptions for writing. Or, there may not be a combined $1B/year of demand for writing subscriptions
Adam Keesling • Explaining a16z's Investment in Substack
“Infinite” ad inventory is an important concept created by the internet. The scarcity on the number of newspaper ads (paper space) or TV ads (commercial time) meant that inventory was limited.