Ephemeralization

Each time one paradigm runs out of steam, another picks up the paceIt is important to note that Moore’s Law of Integrated Circuits was not the first, but the fifth paradigm to provide accelerating price-performance. Or is there something more profound going on?In my view, it is one manifestation (among many) of the exponential growth of the evoluti... See more

No physical process can grow indefinitely.

There are always friction terms in the dynamics equation that eventually become dominant (energy consumption, heat dissipation, quantum effects, thermal fluctuations, communication bandwidth, mass/energy density....).

Even processes that *appear* exponential on a long time scale are actually a succession of... See more

We can organize these observations into what I call the law of accelerating returns as follows:Evolution applies positive feedback in that the more capable methods resulting from one stage of evolutionary progress are used to create the next stage. Over time, the “order” of the information embedded in the evolutionary process (i.e., the measure of ... See more