Saved by Johanna
Effectiveness beats accuracy
Philosophers have pointed out since the beginning of philosophical thought that a high percentage of the justification value of our beliefs comes from how widespread the individual beliefs are. It’s as if our shared beliefs are characteristic of a virus.
Riva • Why Our Belief Systems Create Misperceptions- Published in The European, Nov 2014
Whether it is a football game, a protest, or just about anything else, our pre-existing beliefs influence the way we experience the world. That those beliefs aren’t formed in a particularly orderly way leads to all sorts of mischief in our decision-making.
Annie Duke • Thinking in Bets: Making Smarter Decisions When You Don't Have All the Facts
In a classic paper, sociologist Murray Davis argued that when ideas survive, it’s not because they’re true—it’s because they’re interesting.