Creative thinking | Anthea Roberts — Anthea Roberts

In an impressively unsightly image, Tetlock described the very best forecasters as foxes with dragonfly eyes. Dragonfly eyes are composed of tens of thousands of lenses, each with a different perspective, which are then synthesized in the dragonfly’s brain.

Reflective practice is the essence of the discipline of mental models.

intuitive thinking, the design thinker uses an explicit form of logic and a process that, while less certain and clear than analytical thinking, has promise for producing advances with greater consistency and replicability than pure intuition.

For example, take a live question or field and then reimagine it using a metaphor, perhaps seeing it as a journey, a landscape or a building. Or you can use combinatorial metaphors: reimagine your farm as if it were a factory or vice versa, or reimagine a house as an energy generator. This kind of exercise dislodges, throwing up surprising insights

I have always used frameworks to force insight. It’s an old trick of rhetoric: start in front of a large audience with the sentence “There are three key aspects to [name of topic]...” and even if you only think of one at the beginning, the other two will always come to mind; to what I call the prepared mind. So my flip charts have been about forcin