Artificial Intelligence — The Revolution Hasn’t Happened Yet

AI has eroded the value of specialization because, for many tasks, achieving the outcome of several years of experience now takes a $20 ChatGPT subscription.

If a decade ago it took me nine months to gain enough experience to ship a single prototype, now it takes just one week to build a state-of-the-art platform ready to be shipped — a project once... See more

AGI is not a milestone because it is not actionable. A company declaring it has achieved, or is about to achieve, AGI has no implications for how businesses should plan, what safety interventions we need, or how policymakers should react. What should businesses and policy makers do instead?

Businesses should not rush to adopt half-baked AI products.... See more

The mainstream narrative around AI has changed from “maybe the hype will blow over” to “guess this is the next big thing,” but people disagree about how big. Bigger than social media? Bigger than smartphones? Bigger than fire?

The future of AI is a topic that deserves careful rational thought, not half-baked opinions and tribalism. I would advise against thinking in terms of something as silly as “factions.”

I want to see more tools and fewer operated machines - we should be embracing our humanity instead of blindly improving efficiency. And that involves using our new AI technology in more deft ways than generating more content for humans to evaluate. I believe the real game changers are going to have very little to do with plain content generation. L

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