
🧠AI’s $100bn question: The scaling ceiling

🚨 Controversy Below 🚨
Some of the math around intelligence and what it actually is, is really misunderstood by a lot of people with strong opinions in the AI/ML industry.
You can calculate how many people you need before it’s probably that someone in the group has an IQ above a certain th... See more
Object Zerox.comNot long after the arrival of LLMs, researchers work at scales of data and computation that would have seemed astounding a few years ago. First hundreds of millions, then billions of parameters became normal. Now the talk is of “brain-scale” models with many trillions of parameters. The Chinese company Alibaba has already developed a model that cla
... See moreMustafa Suleyman • The Coming Wave: Technology, Power, and the Twenty-first Century's Greatest Dilemma
I’ve got bad news.
The AI cycle is over—for now.
I’ve been an unapologetic AI maximalist since the first time I tricked GPT-4 into writing a working Python back-test for a volatility strategy back in early 2023. I’m still convinced it will take the wider economy years—maybe decades—to fully digest the pr... See more
Adam Butlerx.com