A Few Rules for Predicting the Future by Octavia E. Butler
commongood.cc
A Few Rules for Predicting the Future by Octavia E. Butler
It is highly unlikely any scenario we make today will really happen on a 50-year horizon. Almost all our predictions at that scale will be wrong. The intent of this exercise is not to predict the future but to rehearse it. So when, if X does happen in 50 years, we can say, oh, we thought about that. And here’s what we should do.
Kevin Kelly • How to Future
because their causes were knowable, their consequences were predictable. But only individually, for not even the canniest seer can specify cumulative effects. Little things add up in unpredictably big ways—and yet, leaders can’t let uncertainties paralyze them. They must appear to know what they’re doing, even when they don’t.
John Lewis Gaddis • On Grand Strategy
The Future Thinker’s Dilemma
thefuturesschool.medium.com