Sublime
An inspiration engine for ideas
Become OK with a lot of things going wrong. You can be wrong half the time and still make a fortune, because a small minority of things account for the majority of outcomes.
Morgan Housel • The Psychology of Money: Timeless lessons on wealth, greed, and happiness
An opportunity always looks like a lucky break. It happens when you encounter the possibility of making a huge jump toward the life your essential self wants to live. Unlike shock, it’s not imposed on you; it simply offers you a chance at something alluring.
Martha Beck • Finding Your Own North Star: Claiming the Life You Were Meant to Live
but these factors do change the probability of success.
Judea Pearl, Dana Mackenzie • The Book of Why
Flipping Coins
Annie Duke • Quit
the idea is not to look at the chances that something would happen by the number of goes you take, but to look at the chances it wouldn’t happen. In the case of the four rolls of a single die, your chance of not seeing a six on any one throw is 5/6, or p≈0.83. If you roll it again, your chance of not seeing a six on either throw is 0.83 times 0.83,
... See moreTom Chivers • Everything Is Predictable
Opportunity, what free agents receive in exchange for their talent, comes in many forms. It can be the opportunity to work on a cool project, to learn new skills, to meet new people and broaden your network, to have fun, and, of course, to earn money. Opportunity—money, learning, connections—is what free agents seek and what organizations and other
... See moreDaniel H. Pink • Free Agent Nation
That which mathematically has an extremely low probability also has this characteristic: that it may nevertheless sometimes happen.