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There must also be some vulnerability of the state in the form of internal divisions and economic or political reverses. Otherwise, popular discontent is unvoiced, and popular opposition is simply suppressed.
Peter Turchin, Sergey A. Nefedov • Secular Cycles
Rather, after a simulation is run a thousand or a million times, such models show policy makers the range of possible futures and their relative probabilities if policies remain unchanged. Then, by altering policies in the model and running them another million times, we might begin to understand paths to better futures.
Jessica C. Flack • Worlds Hidden in Plain Sight: The Evolving Idea of Complexity at the Santa Fe Institute, 1984–2019 (Compass)
some form of complexity theory is required if we are to understand many of the intimate, and patently uncertain, interactions found in modern society.
Jessica C. Flack • Worlds Hidden in Plain Sight: The Evolving Idea of Complexity at the Santa Fe Institute, 1984–2019 (Compass)
And they are instantiated as a distributed processing system on human beings. They don’t particularly care about human beings. Their motives are inscrutable, to the extent that they have any, except that they’d like to get bigger. They’ve run on people. They’re implemented on people. But they are not people. They are not persons in any meaningful
... See moreW. Brian Arthur • Complexity Economics: Proceedings of the Santa Fe Institute's 2019 Fall Symposium
These are all highly contestable statements.
W. Brian Arthur • Complexity Economics: Proceedings of the Santa Fe Institute's 2019 Fall Symposium
nossa espécie tem problemas com a violência.
Robert M. Sapolsky • Comporte-se: A biologia humana em nosso melhor e pior (Portuguese Edition)
Ultrasociety: How 10,000 Years of War Made Humans the Greatest Cooperators on Earth
amazon.com
The economy is thus comprised of evolving networks of interacting agents, institutions, and technologies—networks of networks. The macro- level patterns of the economy—growth, innovation, business cycles, market booms and busts, inequality, and carbon emissions—then emerge from these dynamic micro- and meso-level interactions. From the complexity
... See moreW. Brian Arthur • Complexity Economics: Proceedings of the Santa Fe Institute's 2019 Fall Symposium
But it can also go the other way. What economics has missed is that adding an incentive—a fine or a bonus—may be subtracting something else, the individual’s sense of responsibility, or obligation, or intrinsic pleasure.