Sublime

I'm usually reluctant to make predictions about technology, but I feel fairly confident about this one: in a couple decades there won't be many people who can write.

In a world of abundance, scarcity evolves. While pre-internet scarcity was about a physically constrained, or otherwise limited, number of resources, post-internet scarcity is about separating signal from noise.

Paul Graham points out something Fitbit, GoPro, and Sonos investors have also observed: hardware is hard.

I remember a truism from product marketing. The rule was: Nothing is more damaging than a successful launch of an inferior product. Your short-term success ensures your long-term failure.

That’s a lesson that the tech regime apparently has not learned (yet). But will learn (soon).