Sublime
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Hey… remember this?
Trump is currently up 11% in Florida with 85% reporting. @rabois @NateSilver538 https://t.co/IX7Pazgwhv
The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail-but Some Don't
Nate Silver • 1 highlight
amazon.com
“The rationalist utopia is a power trip,”
Nate Silver • On the Edge: The Art of Risking Everything
There are a lot of discussions circulating about our problem with 538's and Silver's computation of "probabilities". Most fail to get the point. This is OUR presentation.
https://t.co/Q4qu1BkxR1
Nassim Nicholas Talebx.comTwo media takeaways from last night's election:
- Prediction markets are a core part of news consumption. The bettors aren't always perfect, but they're part of how we follow developing events now.
- NY1 is such a good network if you're going to watch TV for local politics.
Joe Weisenthalx.com
A long-winded and winding update on Fredi9999 -- the person or entity -- who is singlehandedly rocketing up the price of Trump on prediction markets around the world.
Spoiler alert: I managed to make contact with him, I think, and he blocked me after a few minutes. Sensitive guy! We'll get back to that.... See more