Sublime
An inspiration engine for ideas
Unless we work actively to become aware of the biases we introduce, the returns to additional information may be minimal—or diminishing.
Nate Silver • The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail-but Some Don't
Ap Dijksterhuis and Loran Nordgren,
Jeremy Lent • The Web of Meaning: Integrating Science and Traditional Wisdom to Find our Place in the Universe
increase learning and discovery, and foster 81 scientific credibility 12 – 15
Tenelle Porter • Predictors and consequences of intellectual humility
“A good prediction is not a good decision,” Narayanan and Kapoor write.
Joshua Rothman • In the Age of A.I., What Makes People Unique?
clever people sought to measure, in data bits, the amount of information produced in
Martin Gurri • Revolt of the Public and the Crisis of Authority in the New Millennium
Figure out which sources to trust.
Adam Grant • Hidden Potential
in practice both EAs and rationalists have a catholic appetite for involving themselves in all sorts of controversies. Effective altruism
Nate Silver • On the Edge: The Art of Risking Everything
Indeed, because of Super Crunching, firms sometimes may be able to make more accurate predictions about how you’ll behave than you could ever make yourself.