Sublime
An inspiration engine for ideas
Nature loves small errors (without which genetic variations are impossible), humans don’t—hence when you rely on human judgment you are at the mercy of a mental bias that disfavors antifragility
My idea of science diverges with that of the people around me walking around calling themselves scientists. Science is mere speculation, mere formulation of conjecture.
Nassim Nicholas Taleb • Fooled by Randomness: The Hidden Role of Chance in Life and in the Markets (Incerto Book 1)
For many environments, the relevant data points are those in the extremes; these are rare by definition, and it suffices to focus on those few but big to get an idea of the story.
Nassim Nicholas Taleb • Skin in the Game: Hidden Asymmetries in Daily Life
Nassim Taleb says, “You can be risk loving and yet completely averse to ruin.”
Morgan Housel • The Psychology of Money: Timeless lessons on wealth, greed, and happiness
Taleb describes this as “the logical-philosophical extension of the black swan problem”. Simply put, predicting events based on observed events is problematic. That is, one cannot expect with certainty that what happened in the past will happen in the future.
Abdul Montaqim • Quicklet on Nassim Taleb's Fooled by Randomness (CliffNotes-like Summary)
somos muito mais eficientes agindo do que pensando, graças à antifragilidade.
Renato Marques • Antifrágil (Nova edição): Coisas que se beneficiam com o caos (Portuguese Edition)
Nassim Nicholas Taleb • Incerto 4-Book Bundle
As defined by Taleb, a “black swan” event possesses three characteristics. First, the event is rare, an outlier, and by extension not predictable ex ante. Second, the event makes an extreme impact. And third, human nature being what it is, the event appears, in retrospect, to be both explainable and predictable.