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Learned something interesting from the CEO of a fairly big tech co. Usually 28 year olds are more productive programmers than 22 year olds, because they have more experience. But apparently 22 year olds are now as good as 28 year olds because they're more at ease using AI.
Paul Grahamx.com
I’m at Stanford and I research software engineering productivity.
We have data on the performance of >50k engineers from 100s of companies.
Inspired by @deedydas, our research shows:
~9.5% of software engineers do virtually nothing: Ghost Engineers (0.1x-ers)
Update: A couple of us Google Brain / DeepMind researchers have left to work on something new.
Some observations:
* Off-the shelf AI libraries (e.g. RAG and agents) do not work well enough for high-quality products.
* In-house research is essential to get the... See more
Peter J. Liux.comTrends – Artificial Intelligence (AI) – May 2025 – BOND
The document analyzes rapid growth and transformative trends in artificial intelligence, highlighting unprecedented user adoption, technological advances, global competition, enterprise AI integration, and associated benefits and risks shaping the future.
bondcap.comAs someone who has studied systems, AI, intelligence, and a slew of other things, what most people don't get is just how big of a difference just 10 IQ points makes.
An IQ of 110 means that you can basically succeed at most jobs and have a decently productive life. This is your typical developer or six figure office... See more
David Shapiro ⏩x.com
OpenAI had a significant lead from summer 2022 through spring 2024 when Google and Anthropic caught up to GPT-4. 7ish quarters of dominance as a result of being the first to aggressively bet on the traditional scaling “law” for pre-training.
Being first to reasoning with o1 only led to a few months of... See more
Meta is currently offering $2M+/yr in offers for AI talent and still losing them to OpenAI and Anthropic. Heard ~3 such cases this week.
The AI talent wars are absolutely ridiculous.
Today, Anthropic has the highest ~80% retention 2 years in and is the #1 (large) company top AI researchers... See more
As Matt Clancey points out that “the benefits of knowledge spillovers from being physically close to other knowledge workers have been falling and may no longer exist in many domains of knowledge.” This is a controversial claim, but Clancey provides a detailed review of multiple studies that address this matter from different directions.