Sublime
An inspiration engine for ideas
Econ/Policy
Bruce Tang • 2 cards
Statement on Prediction Markets
The paper advocates for reduced regulatory barriers to prediction markets, proposing a safe harbor for small stakes markets to enhance decision-making and information gathering in both public and private sectors.
users.nber.org# Behavioral Economics
Sabrina Dong • 4 cards
Makers and Takers: The Economics of the Kalshi Prediction Market
ucd.ie
One of my favorite Quant Trading Lectures on Tail Risk Hedging against Black-Swan Events/ Extreme-Volatility, produced by two phenomenal prev-Exotic Derivatives traders & Market Making professionals, Kris Sidial, Ryan Darnell, hosted by prev-Bloomberg/MenthorQ CEO Fabio Ruggeri: https://t.co/BuRE3ZR3N6
Financial Advisor
Anthony Fiedler • 3 cards
Identifying and Cultivating Superforecasters as a Method of Improving Probabilistic Predictions
The article discusses the identification and development of superforecasters to enhance probabilistic predictions in various fields, highlighting their distinctive cognitive abilities, task-specific skills, motivation, and the impact of enriched environments on performance.
michaelmbishop.github.io“cliometrics” or economic history.