Sublime

New Yorker financial columnist James Surowiecki, who points out that aggregating the opinions of multiple people often yields an accurate analysis of a challenging situation—even if none of the people is an “expert.” In one example, a missing submarine is found in the

people have a general tendency to stick with their current situation.

James Clear put it this way: “People follow incentives, not advice.”

If a group of autonomous individuals tries to solve a problem without any means of putting their judgments together, then the best solution they can hope for is the solution that the smartest person in the group produces, and there’s no guarantee they’ll get that. If that same group, though, has a means of aggregating all those different opinions,