Sublime
An inspiration engine for ideas
Forecasting Research Institute
forecastingresearch.org
Metaculus
metaculus.com
We've created a demo of an AI that can predict the future at a superhuman level (on par with groups of human forecasters working together).
Consequently I think AI forecasters will soon automate most prediction markets.
demo: https://t.co/r5NlsnAvG4
blog: https://t.co/X3eIFSPaGh... See more
Forecasting is often vibes. But so is expertise
Often experts apply their knowledge in unfamiliar or uncertain situations. “How much will this policy decrease child poverty” “Will Biden leave in the next 3 days” “Will I feel better after taking painkillers?” “How much will sea levels rise?”
docs.google.com
The definitive framework to find your next scalable user acquisition channel
Sandy Diaogrowthunhinged.com
Future of Jobs Report 2025
The Future of Jobs Report 2025 analyzes global labor market changes, job growth and decline predictions, and evolving skill demands influenced by technological, economic, and demographic trends up to 2030.
reports.weforum.org
Identifying and Cultivating Superforecasters as a Method of Improving Probabilistic Predictions
The article discusses the identification and development of superforecasters to enhance probabilistic predictions in various fields, highlighting their distinctive cognitive abilities, task-specific skills, motivation, and the impact of enriched environments on performance.
michaelmbishop.github.io