Sublime

Epistemic rationality: systematically improving the accuracy of your beliefs.

Epistemic rationality: systematically improving the accuracy of your beliefs.

So rationality is about forming true beliefs and making winning decisions.

But a human brain is a flawed lens that can understand its own flaws—its systematic errors, its biases—and apply second-order corrections to them.

The strength of a model is not what it can explain, but what it can’t, for only prohibitions constrain anticipation

For every expectation of evidence, there is an equal and opposite expectation of counterevidence.

This correspondence between belief and reality is commonly called “truth

To solve problems, our brains have evolved to employ cognitive heuristics—rough shortcuts that get the right answer often, but not all the time.

To argue against an idea honestly, you should argue against the best arguments of the strongest advocates. Arguing against weaker advocates proves nothing, because even the strongest idea will attract weak advocates. If you want to argue against transhumanism or the intelligence explosion, you have to directly challenge the arguments of Nick Bostro