Sublime

informal and uncontrolled interventions make the estimation of a counterfactual problematic. What would have happened if the employee incentive had not been awarded or the store layout had remained unchanged during the intervention period? In

The best way to counteract Confirmation Bias is to intentionally seek out sources of information that challenge your current hypothesis or belief. When Kelsey and I adopted a vegan diet for a number of years, it was easy to also adopt the mind-set that we were clearly making the optimal choice—for our health, for our animal friends, and for the pla

Although the research team had difficulty distinguishing the transcripts of those individuals recruited on the basis of their age and experience from those recruited on the basis of their inclusion in a marginalized group, they could reliably identify those interview transcripts belonging to sex therapists.

This is a hugely important step. Without knowing the full extent of opposing arguments, you won’t have the complete picture that you need to understand the issue. No matter how convinced you are, try to find one.

One of those implications is that if a set of equally desirable criteria are impossible for any model to satisfy, then any exposé of any risk-assessment instrument whatsoever is guaranteed to find something headline-worthy to dislike.