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A Realistic AI Timeline | Vintage Data
vintagedata.org

I’m reading this book on John von Neumann and realizing that if you want to make enormous contributions across fields (game theory, computer, quantum mechanics, pure math, cellular automata, atom bomb, etc) you simply need to be the greatest genius the world has ever known. https://t.co/DMsXbsspki
Once AGI is achieved, this will be the hard fact.
A digital nation of billions of beings, each of which is smarter than humans.
Dario Amodei (Anthropic CEO explains)..
https://t.co/OGTtwcoZMK
Rohan Paulx.comThe raw intelligence of models is good enough for 90% of use cases.
What we need now is scaffolding:
* Model routing
* Agentic frameworks
* AI coding frameworks
* Memory management
* Guardrails
* Computer/browser use
*... See more
Matthew Bermanx.comMy thesis is clearer now. I'm short on "complex reasoning and agents" because it is often a scapegoat for poorly described problem spaces.
My thoughts on capabilities are about figuring out the 80/20 and baking "complex reasoning" into specific tools, so you put fewer requirements on the... See more
jason liux.comthe more possible states the cognitive system can be in, the higher the entropy, and presumably, the higher the intelligence.
Bobby Azarian • The Romance of Reality: How the Universe Organizes Itself to Create Life, Consciousness, and Cosmic Complexity

Here are the 5 AI niches I would pick if starting today:
1. B2B CompanyGPT Interface
2. ETL for Retrieval-As-A-Service
3. AI Characters
4. Unstructured to Structured Data
5. Around The Org - Enterprise Edition
The breakdown of each one:... See more