Sublime
An inspiration engine for ideas
in part because relative to the Chinese state it’s actually opposition media. See videos like this from DW and this. Hooking it into AI. Read Kai-Fu Lee’s AI Superpowers and then read this, this, and this. Supplement it with Dan Wang’s letters, or this 2019 post from a Chinese intellectual published at Reading the Chinese Dream that is still able t
... See moreBalaji Srinivasan • The Network State: How To Start a New Country
Source: The Wire China
The Dramatic Rise of China’s Mini-Dramas - The Wire China
很多人问我,国内这轮蔬菜水果价格大涨,是不是意味着通缩结束,大放水开始,货币进入滞涨阶段?
大家不要担心,行内人分析得真没错,就是因为下特大暴雨,短期供应紧张,蔬菜水果因为损耗高、时效性强,价格短期涨一波,
只要这波供应紧张结束后(三四个月后),蔬菜水果绝对会暴跌。
原理很简单:
1. 如果真的是滞涨,现在应该很多人告诉你,“化肥价格猛涨”、“农用机械猛涨”、“农药价格暴涨”、“土地承包成本暴涨”、“农业小额贷款申请难度提高、利率陡增”——显然目前这些信号都没出现,就是单纯的“蔬菜水果贵起来了”。
既然农业的各基本要素没有涨价,证明压根就没有“滞涨”的风险
2. 水果蔬菜从来都是受物流和供求影响巨大的产品,很多水果和蔬菜两天卖不掉,就烂掉50%以上,基本没法卖了,
这轮暴雨导致... See more
Anatoly of Chinese surplus
Quick Passages
In other words, China’s real estate era may have ended in tears for some developers and local governments, but it left behind the physical edifice of a very futuristic-looking country. When people go to China and see the future, what they’re really seeing is the country’s recent past.