Lucas Kohorst

@lucas

All cardsCollections

rsrch space

@NathanpmYoung @ManifoldMarkets yup, agreed. the root of the problem seems to be a difficulty in finding uninformed flow that doesn’t come from degen gamblers. cf @hoke_t ‘s great essay: https://t.co/yQwXkRjrLh

saul munn x.com

The Fault in Our Forecasts—Asterisk

asteriskmag.com

The Worst Thing Since Sliced Bread

substack.com

From cleaning bathrooms to raising $3.1M for a cancer prevention startup

Alan Tomusiak communitymorgue.com

GitHub - nikhilnd/kalshi-market-making: QuantSC Spring '23 Project

github.com

How a ragtag band of internet friends becamethe bestat forecasting world events

Dylan Matthews vox.com

The Promise of Prediction Markets | Science

science.org

Thumbnail of www-x-com-domahhhh-status-1846597997507092901

A long-winded and winding update on Fredi9999 -- the person or entity -- who is singlehandedly rocketing up the price of Trump on prediction markets around the world. Spoiler alert: I managed to make contact with him, I think, and he blocked me after a few minutes. Sensitive guy! We'll get back to that.... See more

Domer

x.com

2024 election Polymarket manipulation saga