The analysis examines the failure of uranium futures contracts, highlighting market volatility, fragmented marketing chains, and informational disadvantages among participants as key factors contributing to their lack of success.
Identifying and Cultivating Superforecasters as a Method of Improving Probabilistic Predictions
The article discusses the identification and development of superforecasters to enhance probabilistic predictions in various fields, highlighting their distinctive cognitive abilities, task-specific skills, motivation, and the impact of enriched environments on performance.