Lucas Kohorst

@lucas

days @dcgco nights @adjacent___

kohor.st

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Qlet2025-03-1_unlocked_watermark.pdf

hedgefundalpha.com

News-powered hedge fund raises $100mn to trade on reporters’ scoops

ft.com

Welfare should be replaced with a direct cash payment to anyone who chooses to give up their right to vote, scaled inversely to which vote you’re giving up (city highest, federal lowest)

Ven x.com

Silicon Valley history · Patrick Collison

patrickcollison.com

Talent Spotting in Crowd Prediction

The chapter explores methods for identifying skilled forecasters in crowd prediction, classifying skill correlates, and analyzing their effectiveness in improving aggregate forecasting accuracy.

gwern.net

Why We Stopped Supporting Prediction Markets | Cultivate Labs Blog

Ben Roesch cultivatelabs.com

Eurasia Group | Home

eurasiagroup.net

taylor.town

'24 Pres Predictor

projects.jhkforecasts.com