Lucas Kohorst
@lucas
days @dcgco nights @adjacent___
Lucas Kohorst
kohor.st
LLM-driven data pipelines with prompt() in MotherDuck and dbt - MotherDuck Blog
Adithya Krishnanmotherduck.com
How Crowd Forecasting Can Inform the Big Picture
Crowd forecasting through CSET's Foretell project analyzes potential tech-security scenarios for 2025, focusing on U.S.-China relations, AI industry trends, and informing policy decisions using data analytics and historical projections.
cset.georgetown.edu
adly, Manifold does not produce particularly good predictions. In last year’s ACX contest, it performed worse than simply averaging predictions from the same number of people who took part in each market. Their calibration, while good by human standards, has a clear systematic bias towards predicting things will happen when they don’t (Yes bias).... See more
Robin • Manifold markets isn’t very good — EA Forum
The Soul of Maintaining a New Machine - First Draft | Books in Progress
books.worksinprogress.co
China Weaponizes Rare Earth Metals
t.co
The Liberty Complex: Cash Flow Today, Taxes Eventually
thediff.co