Lucas Kohorst

@lucas

days @dcgco nights @adjacent___

kohor.st

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Asking the Right Questions

Jay Ulfelder dartthrowingchimp.wordpress.com

Predictions as Public Works Project —What Metaculus Is Building Next

metaculus.com

If You're Reading This (Hopefully) It's Too Late

open.substack.com

Liquidity and Prediction Market Efficiency

The paper investigates the relationship between liquidity and market efficiency in prediction markets, revealing that increased liquidity may not enhance pricing accuracy and can even worsen it due to naive trading behavior.

business.columbia.edu

With Nuño Sempere - Superforecasting and Global Risk

open.substack.com

Prediction Markets Are a Thing Now

Matt Levine bloomberg.com

The New Election Gurus

John Tierney city-journal.org

America is Sleepwalking Into a Permanent DEI Bureaucracy That Regulates AI

Dean W. Ball piratewires.com

The AI revolution changing how we predict the weather

ft.com