Lucas Kohorst
@lucas
days @dcgco nights @adjacent___
Lucas Kohorst
kohor.st
The Long History of Political Betting Markets: An International Perspective
The document discusses the historical evolution of political betting markets across various countries and time periods, highlighting the long-standing tradition of wagering on political events throughout history.
gwern.net
Slight aside here, talking about people being “familiar with” things, I find that super subject matter experts can sometimes be very bad at predicting the thing they’re an expert in. That is because they overweight their own expertise."
