Lucas Kohorst
@lucas
days @dcgco nights @adjacent___
Lucas Kohorst
kohor.st
People bet on sports. Why not on anything else?
vox.com
cesifo1_wp11557
The study estimates the financial value of political connections for cabinet appointments in the Trump and Biden administrations using stock market and prediction market data.
LinkThe Depression of 2026, by Fred Foldvary, Ph.D. | Progress.org
progress.org
deck.gallery — nicely designed decks, curated
deck.gallery
Interpreting Prediction Market Prices as Probabilities
The document discusses prediction market prices as reflections of average beliefs under different utility functions. Field data supports that these prices generally correspond with mean beliefs.
users.nber.org