Identifying and Cultivating Superforecasters as a Method of Improving Probabilistic Predictions
The article discusses the identification and development of superforecasters to enhance probabilistic predictions in various fields, highlighting their distinctive cognitive abilities, task-specific skills, motivation, and the impact of enriched environments on performance.
@mattyglesias A group of public health "experts" successfully urged Pfizer to delay reporting their results until after the election. A bit of an underreported story. https://t.co/8KcfmxIa89