Lucas Kohorst

A few years ago I was worried about the risk of our country moving too far right. That worry was ill-founded. The main risk America actually faces is moving too far left, and we are moving there quickly.

This information value is significant enough that people check prediction markets for real-time updates on events; some (e.g. The Base Rate Times, Polymarket, Kalshi) are building out media coverage and newsletters based on this data.