Lucas Kohorst

The "Time is Money" - Prediction Market edition short paper has dropped 🫳🎤 this chart from nagu summarizes markets well into different attributes - imo this can inform a lot of design decisions for - designing custom fee/payout curve; or liquidity incentives - trading or... See more

Baseball started it, but then Daryl Morey and the basketball world quickly took the baton and beat the living hell out of a dead horse. There’s a famous boxing quote that says “styles make fights”. Well, the NBA used to have a bunch of different stylistic ways to play the game and everyone leaned into the specific strengths of their roster. But... See more

In exclusive Discord groups, many of them trade information, such as tips on “bonds” — their term for low-risk, low-return bets that, while not as ironclad as U.S. Treasuries, are the prediction-market version of a sure thing