A few more things to know:
- Since 1988, prediction markets have beaten professional pollsters 74% of the time.[1]
- In the corporate setting, prediction markets almost always beat expert forecasts.[2,3,4]
- Polymarket is implemented as open-source smart... See more
@mattyglesias A group of public health "experts" successfully urged Pfizer to delay reporting their results until after the election. A bit of an underreported story. https://t.co/8KcfmxIa89