Lucas Kohorst

L

Lucas Kohorst

@lucas

days @dcgco nights @adjacent___

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adly, Manifold does not produce particularly good predictions. In last year’s ACX contest, it performed worse than simply averaging predictions from the same number of people who took part in each market. Their calibration, while good by human standards, has a clear systematic bias towards predicting things will happen when they don’t (Yes bias).... See more

Robin • Manifold markets isn’t very good — EA Forum

The Artist Exposing the Data We Leave Online

Kyle Chayka newyorker.com

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How (Not) to Short the Bounce on RGTI - A Trade Breakdown - Churning and Burning

Pete churningandburning.com

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academic.oup.com

AI or Die | RKG

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The solar industrial revolution is the biggest investment opportunity in history

caseyhandmer.wordpress.com

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Solar’s Future Is Insanely Cheap (2020) – Ramez Naam

Ramez Naam rameznaam.com

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Why is Switzerland so rich?

simongrimm.substack.com

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How do you fill a home? - tommy trinh

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