Lucas Kohorst
@lucas
days @dcgco nights @adjacent___
Lucas Kohorst
kohor.st
These two college students 100x’ed their initial investment
blog.kalshi.com
Cat Bond Fundamentals: A Comprehensive Guide
verisk.com
So, you want to Auction?
escaping-employment.ck.pageRAND Forecasting Initiative
randforecastinginitiative.org
Prediction Markets are Confounded - Implications for the feasibility of Futarchy — LessWrong
lesswrong.com
This information value is significant enough that people check prediction markets for real-time updates on events; some (e.g. The Base Rate Times, Polymarket, Kalshi) are building out media coverage and newsletters based on this data.