Lucas Kohorst
@lucas
days @dcgco nights @adjacent___
Lucas Kohorst
kohor.st
Breaking the Intelligence Curse - The Intelligence Curse
intelligence-curse.ai
Marc van der Chijs\' Shanghaied Weblog
marc.cn
Climate‑Resilient Loans: A Simple Spin on Multiverse Finance
0xdhruv.me
This looks like a pretty reasonable plot of P(Russia invades Ukraine) over time. Except that, as was subsequently revealed, the image is in fact an edited version of a screenshot of this Manifold question, wherein the original price graph has been replaced with that of front-month Brent crude futures1 over the same time period. As it turns out, the... See more
Tanner Hoke • Let there be flow - Tanner Hoke
Elicit Forecast
forecast.elicit.org
Writing a Wikipedia RSS Link Archive Bot
gwern.net
What does insurance X prediction markets look like
Announcing the Q1 2025 Long-Term Future Fund grant round — EA Forum
calebpforum.effectivealtruism.org