Lucas Kohorst

@lucas

days @dcgco nights @adjacent___

kohor.st

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Idea futures inside the corporation - Marginal REVOLUTION

Tyler Cowen marginalrevolution.com

Abandoned Footnotes

abandonedfootnotes.blogspot.com

The Long History of Political Betting Markets: An International Perspective

The document discusses the historical evolution of political betting markets across various countries and time periods, highlighting the long-standing tradition of wagering on political events throughout history.

gwern.net

AI Grant

aigrant.com

The Tradition of Knowledge Behind ASML

brief.bismarckanalysis.com

Time Travelling Life Insurance Arbitrage / Welcome to Error Margin

errormargin.com

What Do I Think About Community Notes?

vitalik.eth.limo vitalik.eth.limo

Here is a longer form take. A truly based rollup, which operates without a trusted gateway, is ordered by L1 validators or builders. Those actors will try to maximize MEV extraction from the based rollup. This may be "aligned" with Ethereum (MEV goes to the L1 validator) but it is suicide for the rollups. Because the... See more

Charlie x.com

Elicit Forecast

forecast.elicit.org