Lucas Kohorst
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Lucas Kohorst
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The world is awful. The world is much better. The world can be much better.
Max Roser
ourworldindata.org
How I Made $10k Predicting Which Studies Will Replicate | Fantastic Anachronism
Alvaro de Menard
fantasticanachronism.com
Interesting ideas in Observable Framework
Simon Willison
simonwillison.net
Interpreting Prediction Market Prices as Probabilities
The document discusses prediction market prices as reflections of average beliefs under different utility functions. Field data supports that these prices generally correspond with mean beliefs.
users.nber.org
The Fault in Our Forecasts—Asterisk
asteriskmag.com
Plaid Alone Won’t Cut It
Grace Penders
newsletter.equal.vc
3
3
Advice on starting a microgrant program
nadia.xyz
LLM Data Table
forecastbench.org
Would Anything (of Value) Be Lost?
Greg Kogan
gkogan.co