Lucas Kohorst
Forecasting the Probability of War Between Israel and Hezbollah ...
- Hi, by the way, we’re Hunterbrook Media: an experiment to scalably and sustainably fund investigations into under-scrutinized sectors and global news in under-covered regions. This is an experiment — and smarter people have tried and failed to find a sustainable model. Our hypothesis is that if you recruit world-class reporters and OSINT analysts... See more
Dead Simple Sites — Minimal Website Inspiration
- Sports betting legalization reduces net investments of households by nearly 14% overall. $1 of sports betting reduces net investment by over $2, increases credit card debt, but has no effect on participation in lotteries or other online gambling outlets. https://t.co/k8JRSvj6Da... See more
Will I regret leaving Manifold?
Smallweb
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- A few more things to know: - Since 1988, prediction markets have beaten professional pollsters 74% of the time.[1] - In the corporate setting, prediction markets almost always beat expert forecasts.[2,3,4] - Polymarket is implemented as open-source smart contracts on a public blockchain. This means that they can't manipulate the matching engine.... See more
- Seeing lots of new media companies being right now. I love it! However, be careful building generalized media. B2C media is a graveyard. - huffington post - buzzfeed - vice - complex - mic - mashable - ozy - quartz Build for everyone and you build for no one. Instead study B2B media. - industry dive - freight waves - the information - s... See more