Lucas Kohorst
History of the National Weather Service
Publish Something Online
Forecasting is often vibes. But so is expertise
Often experts apply their knowledge in unfamiliar or uncertain situations. “How much will this policy decrease child poverty” “Will Biden leave in the next 3 days” “Will I feel better after taking painkillers?” “How much will sea levels rise?”
Memo on search (August 2022)
This document is meant to summarize the thoughts I had about search and related topics in August 2022. I think that this space is interesting and I can see glimmers of a product that I want to spend all of my time in (as a user!) but I can’t seem to locate the real value of the tool or a strategy to achieve it.
llama.ttf
LLM inside a font
Minute-by-Minute: Financial Markets' Reaction to the 2020 U.S. ...
The Microplastic Problem | Contrary
on markets & technology
The Motte
The Damped Spring Report - "Shifts in growth, inflation, risk premium and positioning all lead to opportunities in markets"
The report discusses the shifts in growth, inflation, risk premium, and positioning in the market, highlighting opportunities and potential outcomes as Act 3 unfolds.