Lucas Kohorst
@lucas
days @dcgco nights @adjacent___
Lucas Kohorst
kohor.st
PredictIt Legal Case Information – MickBransfield.com
mickbransfield.com
With Nuño Sempere - Superforecasting and Global Risk
open.substack.com
Establishing And Implementing The President's "Department Of Government Efficiency" – The White House
whitehouse.gov
Financial data and markets infrastructure: Positioning for the future
mckinsey.com
Because of the nuances of the Electoral College, votes in some states are much more likely to swing the election than others. FiveThirtyEight compiled a “voter power index” (VPI), which compares the relative power of the vote. A VPI of 1 means that a voter in that state has an average chance of swinging the election (~1 in 60 million). A VPI of 2 m... See more
Voter Impact Index
Identifying and Cultivating Superforecasters as a Method of Improving Probabilistic Predictions
The article discusses the identification and development of superforecasters to enhance probabilistic predictions in various fields, highlighting their distinctive cognitive abilities, task-specific skills, motivation, and the impact of enriched environments on performance.
michaelmbishop.github.ioSell the Election News on DJT — A Trade Breakdown (bonus: some Polymarket stuff) - Churning and Burning
Petechurningandburning.com