Lucas Kohorst
- he previously mentioned research finds that an investor with $100,000 in an equity mutual fund has the equivalent of a $2,500 bet on the election already.
from The folly of making political prediction markets like Intrade illegal by Reuters
A Manipulator Can Aid Prediction Market Accuracy
Election Predictions as Martingales: An Arbitrage Approach
moses-response-to-power-broker
Robert Moses offers a critical response to Robert A. Caro's biography, disputing the portrayal of his public service, addressing inaccuracies, and defending his contributions to urban development in New York.
- The top-performing miners in September were those who hedged early. Miners who hedged USD revenues in April earned 40% more, and those who hedged Bitcoin production earned 27% more.
Grant Guide by Merge Club
Getting Nuked?
2005 Kenyon Commencement Address
David Foster Wallace's commencement address emphasizes the importance of awareness, choice, and how to think critically about everyday experiences, encouraging graduates to live consciously and meaningfully amidst life's challenges.
Geoengineering Affects You, Your Environment, and Your Loved Ones
Liquidity and Prediction Market Efficiency
The paper investigates the relationship between liquidity and market efficiency in prediction markets, revealing that increased liquidity may not enhance pricing accuracy and can even worsen it due to naive trading behavior.