Lucas Kohorst
moses-response-to-power-broker
Robert Moses offers a critical response to Robert A. Caro's biography, disputing the portrayal of his public service, addressing inaccuracies, and defending his contributions to urban development in New York.
“I use Twitter as a notebook to explore ideas”
- Anything meaningful takes five years to do, whether that’s getting a company off the ground or mastering a skill.If we start working at 20, that’s 60 productive years — or 12 five-year blocks to do new things, then move on.Instead of living one life or career, why not live a dozen instead?This ebb and flow of interest and desire feels natural to me... See more
from A dozen lives by Stew Fortier
Founder Personal Financial Model [Andrew Rea] - Google Drive
: Obligatory note that some of the data is altered to not be exact such as Salary but most of the data is directional or exactly what my personal burn was in preparation.
Browse Browse Home Ideas photos and more on Apartment Therapy. Discover inspiration for your own home.
- This looks like a pretty reasonable plot of P(Russia invades Ukraine) over time. Except that, as was subsequently revealed, the image is in fact an edited version of a screenshot of this Manifold question, wherein the original price graph has been replaced with that of front-month Brent crude futures1 over the same time period. As it turns out, the... See more
from Let there be flow - Tanner Hoke by Tanner Hoke
Interpreting Prediction Market Prices as Probabilities
The document discusses prediction market prices as reflections of average beliefs under different utility functions. Field data supports that these prices generally correspond with mean beliefs.
new VC funds at / below $200M in size by Shai Goldman @shaig - Google Drive
